Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tokyo Verdy v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals
Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
0-1
HT 0-1
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics
Tokyo Verdy and Machida Zelvia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 51% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 49%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.80 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.67 for Machida Zelvia.
What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia?
Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 29%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.