Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tigres UANL v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tigres UANL 1-2 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca nicked a narrow win over Tigres UANL 2-1 on their travels. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
This one beat our numbers. Tigres UANL carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 52%.
Under the surface, possession split 57% to 43% in Tigres UANL's favour, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.61 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Tigres UANL against 1.00 for Pachuca.
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Result & Final Score
Tigres UANL 1 - 2 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 65%, draw 20%, Pachuca 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.