Pachuca vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
CONLK
1-1
HT 1-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
4-1
HT 1-1
Pachuca
MEK
Pachuca 1-2 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Pachuca 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pachuca had 54% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 46%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.22 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?
Pachuca 1-2 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 32%, draw 26%, Tigres UANL 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.