Queretaro vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Queretaro v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Queretaro 1-0 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Queretaro came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Guadalajara 1-0.
File this under upsets: a 57% lean on Guadalajara went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Queretaro had 26% of the ball to Guadalajara's 74%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.99 to 1.92 — on chances, Guadalajara could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queretaro and 1.67 for Guadalajara.
Queretaro vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Queretaro 1 - 0 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Queretaro vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 18%, draw 25%, Guadalajara 57%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.