Pumas UNAM 0-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.60/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.55
+20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.2 Crosses 17.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.20 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
303 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2025 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-3 HT 1-2 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
20.10.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
20.01.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-1 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
17.09.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
09.04.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
19.08.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-2 HT 1-2 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
0-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.18 xG 1.19
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
491 Passes 251
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis edged past Pumas UNAM 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pumas UNAM at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 63% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 37%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.18 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.83 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis?

Pumas UNAM 0-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 55%, draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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