Tijuana vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Toluca
MEK
3-3
HT 0-3
Toluca
MEK
3-1
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
Tijuana 0-0 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana and Toluca played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tijuana had 39% of the ball to Toluca's 61%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tijuana and 2.83 for Toluca.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Toluca?
Tijuana 0-0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 34%, draw 26%, Toluca 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.