İsrail 1-4 İzlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2024

İsrail
1-4 HT 1-2
İzlanda
📅21/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Euro Qualifiers – 2024

İsrail vs İzlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.65 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
12.7
X/1
15%
4.92
X/2
10%
6.56
X/X
13%
4.4
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.68
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İsrail v İzlanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsrail EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda EU Bookmakers 33%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.48/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.24
-24% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
18.3 Crosses 14.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

İsrail vs İzlanda Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsrail
1W-2D-0L
AWAY İzlanda
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.33 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
344 Passes 204
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.06.2022 İzlanda İzlanda 2-2 HT 1-1 İsrail İsrail AVUL
02.06.2022 İsrail İsrail 2-2 HT 1-1 İzlanda İzlanda AVUL
17.11.2010 İsrail İsrail 3-2 HT 3-0 İzlanda İzlanda HAZ

İsrail 1-4 İzlanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsrail
1-4
AWAY İzlanda
2.12 xG 2.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
397 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İsrail vs İzlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda swept aside İsrail 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day İzlanda made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, İsrail had 56% of the ball to İzlanda's 44%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.12 to 2.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İsrail had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for İsrail and 2.00 for İzlanda.

What was the final score of İsrail vs İzlanda?

İsrail 1-4 İzlanda in the Euro Qualifiers on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsrail vs İzlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsrail win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split İsrail 36%, draw 32%, İzlanda 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İsrail) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsrail) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVŞE More Euro Qualifiers
21 Mar 2024
20:00 Gürcistan vs Lüksemburg Analysis →
22:45 Galler vs Finlandiya Analysis →
22:45 Bosna-Hersek vs Ukrayna Analysis →
22:45 Yunanistan vs Kazakistan Analysis →
22:45 Polonya vs Estonya Analysis →