Gürcistan 2-0 Lüksemburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2024

Gürcistan
2-0 HT 1-0
Lüksemburg
📅21/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Euro Qualifiers – 2024

Gürcistan vs Lüksemburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.4
X/1
13%
3.86
X/2
9%
8.7
X/X
17%
4.13
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
7.52
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gürcistan v Lüksemburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 24%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.11/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.69
-45% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +139%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
12.0 Crosses 4.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.6

Gürcistan vs Lüksemburg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gürcistan
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lüksemburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
05.06.2018 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ
15.08.2012 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ
22.08.2007 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ

Gürcistan 2-0 Lüksemburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gürcistan
2-0
AWAY Lüksemburg
1.71 xG 0.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
436 Passes 335
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gürcistan vs Lüksemburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gürcistan saw off Lüksemburg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gürcistan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Gürcistan had 56% of the ball to Lüksemburg's 44%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.71 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gürcistan and 0.67 for Lüksemburg.

What was the final score of Gürcistan vs Lüksemburg?

Gürcistan 2-0 Lüksemburg in the Euro Qualifiers on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gürcistan vs Lüksemburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gürcistan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan 47%, draw 27%, Lüksemburg 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gürcistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gürcistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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