Yunanistan 5-0 Kazakistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.0
X/1
16%
3.15
X/2
6%
18.1
X/X
8%
5.48
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
11%
17.3
2/X
6%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.0pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunanistan EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan EU Bookmakers 14%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.78/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.48
+52% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / +67%
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.4
46.4 Crosses 10.3
0.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunanistan
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kazakistan
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.03.2006 Kazakistan Kazakistan 0-2 HT 0-0 Yunanistan Yunanistan HAZ
07.09.2005 Kazakistan Kazakistan 1-2 HT 0-0 Yunanistan Yunanistan DKE
17.11.2004 Yunanistan Yunanistan 3-1 HT 2-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunanistan
5-0
AWAY Kazakistan
3.87 xG 0.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
431 Passes 207
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yunanistan vs Kazakistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunanistan ran out comfortable winners over Kazakistan 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yunanistan as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yunanistan had 64% of the ball to Kazakistan's 36%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 3.87 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yunanistan had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Yunanistan and 0.67 for Kazakistan.

What was the final score of Yunanistan vs Kazakistan?

Yunanistan 5-0 Kazakistan in the Euro Qualifiers on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunanistan vs Kazakistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunanistan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Yunanistan 58%, draw 21%, Kazakistan 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunanistan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunanistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVŞE More Euro Qualifiers
21 Mar 2024
20:00 Gürcistan vs Lüksemburg Analysis →
22:45 Galler vs Finlandiya Analysis →
22:45 İsrail vs İzlanda Analysis →
22:45 Bosna-Hersek vs Ukrayna Analysis →
22:45 Polonya vs Estonya Analysis →