İngiltere 2-0 Arnavutluk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.25
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
17%
3.55
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
11%
9.24
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
5%
34.5
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.0pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.6pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.4pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutluk EU Bookmakers 8%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.69/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/2.21
+19% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -43%
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
557 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
20.4 Crosses 12.2
0.6 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Arnavutluk
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.17 xG 0.39
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
642 Passes 274
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2021 İngiltere İngiltere 5-0 HT 5-0 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk DKE
28.03.2021 Arnavutluk Arnavutluk 0-2 HT 0-1 İngiltere İngiltere DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere
2-0
AWAY Arnavutluk
1.48 xG 0.04
74% Ball Possession 26%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
811 Passes 249
94% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İngiltere vs Arnavutluk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere saw off Arnavutluk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İngiltere as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, İngiltere had 74% of the ball to Arnavutluk's 26%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 1.48 to 0.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İngiltere had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for İngiltere and 0.00 for Arnavutluk.

What was the final score of İngiltere vs Arnavutluk?

İngiltere 2-0 Arnavutluk in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere vs Arnavutluk?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split İngiltere 64%, draw 20%, Arnavutluk 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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