Malta 0-1 Finlandiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

Malta
0-1 HT 0-1
Finlandiya
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Malta vs Finlandiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.06
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.42
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
9%
8.38
X/2
21%
4.25
X/X
13%
3.71
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.61
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malta v Finlandiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malta EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya EU Bookmakers 52%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.41/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.34
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
11.8 Crosses 12.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Malta vs Finlandiya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malta
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Finlandiya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
The Meetings
26.03.2018 Finlandiya Finlandiya 5-0 HT 3-0 Malta Malta HAZ
03.03.2010 Malta Malta 1-2 HT 1-0 Finlandiya Finlandiya HAZ

Malta 0-1 Finlandiya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malta
0-1
AWAY Finlandiya
1.85 xG 1.88
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
490 Passes 324
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malta vs Finlandiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finlandiya squeezed past Malta 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Finlandiya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Malta had 58% of the ball to Finlandiya's 42%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.85 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Finlandiya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Malta and 3.50 for Finlandiya.

What was the final score of Malta vs Finlandiya?

Malta 0-1 Finlandiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malta vs Finlandiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finlandiya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Malta 26%, draw 25%, Finlandiya 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finlandiya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Finlandiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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