Romanya 0-1 Bosna-Hersek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

Romanya
0-1 HT 0-1
Bosna-Hersek
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Romanya vs Bosna-Hersek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.97
2-3 Goals
48%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 22% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.54
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.47
X/2
10%
8.15
X/X
10%
4.49
2/1
5%
25.0
2/2
9%
6.45
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Romanya v Bosna-Hersek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 27%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.83/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.08/0.00
+116% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Romanya vs Bosna-Hersek Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.14 xG 0.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
274 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.09.2022 Romanya Romanya 4-1 HT 1-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVUL
07.06.2022 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 1-0 HT 0-0 Romanya Romanya AVUL
03.06.2011 Romanya Romanya 3-0 HT 2-0 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVR
26.03.2011 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 2-1 HT 0-1 Romanya Romanya AVR

Romanya 0-1 Bosna-Hersek — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya
0-1
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
1.80 xG 0.93
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
491 Passes 211
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Romanya vs Bosna-Hersek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bosna-Hersek edged past Romanya 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Romanya at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Romanya had 66% of the ball to Bosna-Hersek's 34%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.80 to 0.93 — on chances, Romanya could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Romanya and 1.00 for Bosna-Hersek.

What was the final score of Romanya vs Bosna-Hersek?

Romanya 0-1 Bosna-Hersek in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya vs Bosna-Hersek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Romanya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Romanya 49%, draw 25%, Bosna-Hersek 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Romanya), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Romanya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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