Barwell 2-4 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
2.34/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.26
+23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
2W-3D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-3 HT 0-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
22.02.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
30.11.2024 Barwell Barwell 3-1 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
20.01.2024 Barwell Barwell 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
05.08.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Barwell vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury saw off Barwell 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Barwell at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barwell had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Barwell and 0.80 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Barwell vs AFC Sudbury?

Barwell 2-4 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Barwell 53%, draw 24%, AFC Sudbury 23%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barwell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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