Athletic Carpi 1-2 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.92/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.90
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pineto
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
15.03.2025 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 1-1 HT 1-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
03.11.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-4 HT 0-2 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
1-2
AWAY Pineto
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Athletic Carpi vs Pineto
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Pineto edged past Athletic Carpi 2-1 away from home in the Italy - Serie C on 21 Mar 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 48% of the ball to Pineto's 52%, shots finished 6-21.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Athletic Carpi and 1.00 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?

Athletic Carpi 1-2 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 37%, draw 33%, Pineto 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✗ Under 2.5
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