Heidenheim 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Mar 2026

Heidenheim
3 - 3 HT 0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.65
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
66%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.59
Over Pick
67%
1.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.45
2-3
42%
1.99
4-5
32%
2.54
6+
11%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.92
1/2
4%
18.55
1/X
4%
16.25
X/1
6%
11.2
X/2 ✗
20%
4.3
X/X
11%
7.03
2/1
1%
34.0
2/2
42%
1.86
2/X
4%
14.7
Value flag · X/2 at 4.3 — our 20% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Heidenheim v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Heidenheim The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen The Market 66%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.46
2.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Great
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 509 · 86%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2

Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.87 xG 2.11
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
248 Passes 684
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 6-0 HT 5-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
05.04.2025 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
23.11.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 5-2 HT 2-2 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
17.02.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
24.09.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
05.02.2019 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AFK

Heidenheim 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
3 - 3
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.64 xG 1.74
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
258 Passes 459
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Heidenheim and Bayer Leverkusen finished all square at 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Bayer Leverkusen at 66% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Bayer Leverkusen saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.64 to 1.74.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Heidenheim against 3.17 for Bayer Leverkusen.

Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Result & Final Score

Heidenheim 3 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 15%, draw 19%, Bayer Leverkusen 66%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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