Bayern Münih 4-0 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
87%
1.16
Draw
8%
7.13
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
21%
3.46
Over
79%
1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
9%
7.72
2-3
36%
2.27
4-5
37%
2.32
6+
18%
3.98
Value flag · 4-5 at 2.32 — our 37% vs market 35.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
64%
1.24
1/2
0%
34.0
1/X
2%
28.0
X/1
20%
3.96
X/2
2%
31.5
X/X
4%
12.55
2/1
3%
20.6
2/2
3%
26.0
2/X
2%
34.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bayern Münih The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin The Market 9%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
3.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.67
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.46
Great Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
533 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
42 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Union Berlin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.11
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
633 Passes 194
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-3 HT 1-3 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AFK
08.11.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
15.03.2025 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
02.11.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 2-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
20.04.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-5 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
24.01.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
4 - 0
AWAY Union Berlin
5.08 xG 0.28
74% Ball Possession 26%
31 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
635 Passes 174
91% Pass Accuracy 71%
52 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Bayern Münih vs Union Berlin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayern Münih cruised past Union Berlin 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 87%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (79%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Bayern Münih had 74% of the ball to Union Berlin's 26%, shots finished 31-5, expected goals 5.08 to 0.28.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.00 for Union Berlin.

Bayern Münih vs Union Berlin Result & Final Score

Bayern Münih 4 - 0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bayern Münih vs Union Berlin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 87%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 87%, draw 8%, Union Berlin 5%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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