Connahs Quay 2-1 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
17%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.95
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.72
No
47%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.37
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
27%
3.16
6+
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Connahs Quay The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont The Market 27%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.81 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.26
0.84 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.68
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Penybont
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2026 Penybont Penybont 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
08.11.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 4-0 HT 2-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
30.08.2025 Penybont Penybont 0-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
04.01.2025 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
15.09.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-1 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
13.01.2024 Penybont Penybont 0-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
REVIEW Connahs Quay vs Penybont
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Connahs Quay shaded a tight game against Penybont 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.33 for Penybont.

Connahs Quay vs Penybont Result & Final Score

Connahs Quay 2-1 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Connahs Quay vs Penybont Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 61%, draw 22%, Penybont 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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