Seongnam 2-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.48/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.61
+1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.7 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
386 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 3-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.06.2025 Seongnam Seongnam 0-2 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
30.03.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
20.10.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-3 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-4 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
06.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
2-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
317 Passes 362
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam nicked a narrow win over Asan Mugunghwa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Seongnam as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Seongnam had 48% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 52%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Seongnam and 1.83 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Seongnam 2-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 43%, draw 28%, Asan Mugunghwa 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seongnam), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seongnam) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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