Baltika Kaliningrad 4-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.73
No
56%
1.4
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.64
2-3
45%
1.73
4-5
21%
4.1
6+
8%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.61
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
23.5
X/1
11%
3.38
X/2
5%
17.55
X/X
12%
5.49
2/1
12%
29.5
2/2
5%
17.85
2/X
4%
28.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi The Market 14%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.64 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.73
0.34 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.08
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Defensevs comparable teams Weak
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
21.0 Crosses 13.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
283 Passes 328
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-2 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
13.04.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS1
21.07.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
03.03.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
23.07.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
21.10.2017 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
4-0
AWAY FC Sochi
2.83 xG 0.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
291 Passes 239
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Baltika Kaliningrad swept aside FC Sochi 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Baltika Kaliningrad had 52% of the ball to FC Sochi's 48%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.83 to 0.26.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.83 for FC Sochi.

Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi Result & Final Score

Baltika Kaliningrad 4-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 66%, draw 20%, FC Sochi 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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