FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.64
Over
42%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.57
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
17%
4.25
6+
8%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.57 — our 35% vs market 31.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.85
X/2
7%
6.16
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.74
2/X
7%
14.15
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.22 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.13
1.05 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.23
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.8 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rostov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
212 Passes 293
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
12.04.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
26.10.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
09.12.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
22.10.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
28.05.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-2 HT 2-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-0
AWAY Rostov
0.43 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
252 Passes 188
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
11 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rostov
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FC Akhmat Grozny came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Rostov 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had FC Akhmat Grozny as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: FC Akhmat Grozny had 54% of the ball to Rostov's 46%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.43 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rostov.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.67 for Rostov.

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rostov Result & Final Score

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rostov Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 44%, draw 27%, Rostov 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
21 Mar 2026
16:00 CSKA Moskova vs Makhachkala Analysis →
18:15 Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Analysis →
20:30 Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi Analysis →