Krasnodar 5-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
76%
1.29
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
8%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.18
Over
59%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.01
2-3
37%
1.82
4-5
27%
2.92
6+
13%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.01 — our 23% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.46
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
22.25
X/1
18%
3.63
X/2
3%
19.75
X/X
8%
7.48
2/1
9%
23.5
2/2
2%
18.0
2/X
4%
26.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Krasnodar The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod The Market 12%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.11 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.82
1.06 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.96
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Strong
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
19.6 Crosses 11.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 234
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
07.03.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
23.10.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
28.08.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
18.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
06.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 2-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
REVIEW Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Krasnodar made light work of Pari Nizhny Novgorod 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Krasnodar and 1.00 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Result & Final Score

Krasnodar 5-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 76%, draw 16%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 8%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5
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