Eastleigh 1-0 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No Pick
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.6
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.16
6+
9%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.08
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
11%
4.67
X/2
12%
6.67
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
18%
5.29
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.87/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.17
+25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
52 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 44 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Yeovil
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Yeovil Yeovil 2-2 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
07.03.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.09.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
12.02.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
13.11.2021 Yeovil Yeovil 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
09.02.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-0
AWAY Yeovil
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh nicked a narrow win over Yeovil 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Eastleigh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eastleigh had 48% of the ball to Yeovil's 52%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yeovil led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eastleigh and 1.00 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Yeovil?

Eastleigh 1-0 Yeovil in the England - National League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 36%, draw 28%, Yeovil 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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