21/04/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Oxford City vs Rushall Olympic Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.71
— our 28% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
23%
Draw
24%
25%
Away Win
22%
53%
Under 2.5
45%
47%
Over 2.5
55%
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
55%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oxford City v Rushall Olympic — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Oxford City
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rushall Olympic
EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-20%
2.51/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.80/2.09
+43%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-24%
/
-24%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
6
361 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
341 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
Oxford City vs Rushall Olympic Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Oxford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Rushall Olympic
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
9
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
2
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Oxford City vs Rushall Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Oxford City got the better of Rushall Olympic 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Oxford City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Oxford City vs Rushall Olympic?
Oxford City 3-1 Rushall Olympic in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Rushall Olympic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 52%, draw 23%, Rushall Olympic 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Oxford City)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İCON
More England - Conference
21 Apr 2025