Cambridge United 1-2 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.9
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.27
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
22%
3.34
6+
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.98
1/2
8%
24.2
1/X
10%
14.25
X/1
7%
7.96
X/2
14%
4.66
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.62
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.03/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.83
-10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -55%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
219 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.7 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
210 Passes 321
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
01.01.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-2 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
26.08.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
20.04.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-4 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
26.12.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
07.03.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-2
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.17 xG 0.85
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
96 Passes 429
46% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient edged past Cambridge United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 29% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 71%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.17 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cambridge United and 1.83 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient?

Cambridge United 1-2 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 31%, draw 26%, Leyton Orient 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5
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