Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northampton Town v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Shrewsbury
İN1
1-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN1
1-1
HT 1-0
Shrewsbury
İN1
Northampton Town 4-1 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics
Northampton Town ran out comfortable winners over Shrewsbury 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Northampton Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Northampton Town had 39% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 61%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.07 to 2.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shrewsbury.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Northampton Town and 1.00 for Shrewsbury.
What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury?
Northampton Town 4-1 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury?
Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 50%, draw 25%, Shrewsbury 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northampton Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.