Swindon Town 0-1 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.15
Over
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No Pick
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.93
2-3
39%
1.83
4-5
24%
2.95
6+
12%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.93 — our 25% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.43
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.62
X/2
9%
8.41
X/X
13%
5.57
2/1
8%
21.75
2/2
11%
6.09
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.35
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 68%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.3 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bromley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
153 Passes 132
54% Pass Accuracy 53%
19 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2024 Bromley Bromley 1-1 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
0-1
AWAY Bromley
2.96 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 5
266 Passes 124
74% Pass Accuracy 54%
30 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley nicked a narrow win over Swindon Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Swindon Town had 60% of the ball to Bromley's 40%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.96 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Bromley?

Swindon Town 0-1 Bromley in the England - 2nd Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 49%, draw 26%, Bromley 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Swindon Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✓ BTTS No
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