Genk vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genk v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals
Genk vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Charleroi
BEL
Genk 1-1 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics
Genk and Sporting Charleroi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Genk at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Genk had 60% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 40%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 3.22 to 1.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Genk and 0.67 for Sporting Charleroi.
What was the final score of Genk vs Sporting Charleroi?
Genk 1-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genk vs Sporting Charleroi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Genk 45%, draw 30%, Sporting Charleroi 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Genk), BTTS No went the other way.