Atletico Nacional 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.25/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.20
+32% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
17.0 Crosses 12.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 0.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
340 Passes 162
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
29.03.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
07.02.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLSK
30.01.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLSK
24.09.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
11.03.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
2-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.26 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 Passes 337
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional saw off Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 54% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 46%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.26 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.17 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Atletico Nacional 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 53%, draw 27%, Atletico Bucaramanga 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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