Once Caldas 2-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.21/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.16
+26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
18.4 Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
4W-2D-0L
AWAY La Equidad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.96 xG 0.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 Passes 231
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
17.04.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
04.08.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
01.06.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-2 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
06.05.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
07.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
2-1
AWAY La Equidad
1.25 xG 1.35
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
385 Passes 179
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas squeezed past La Equidad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Once Caldas had 63% of the ball to La Equidad's 37%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.25 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Once Caldas and 0.33 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs La Equidad?

Once Caldas 2-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 42%, draw 29%, La Equidad 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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