Zamora 1-1 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
0.82/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.99
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.7 Crosses 16.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.20
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
188 Passes 399
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
14.04.2025 Zamora Zamora 3-0 HT 3-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
10.11.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
03.11.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
28.08.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
10.03.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-2 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
1-1
AWAY Caracas FC
2.07 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
179 Passes 268
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 34
31 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora and Caracas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zamora had 46% of the ball to Caracas FC's 54%, shots finished 20-22, expected goals 2.07 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zamora and 1.67 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Caracas FC?

Zamora 1-1 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zamora 40%, draw 29%, Caracas FC 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zamora), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zamora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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