Elfsborg 1-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.1 — our 22% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.0
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
21%
4.68
X/2
11%
6.72
X/X
10%
4.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
13%
5.24
2/X
7%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +25%
1.49/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.41
+47% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
23.1 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mjallby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
272 Passes 427
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
19.06.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby HAZ
30.03.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.08.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
21.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
20.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
1-1
AWAY Mjallby
2.29 xG 0.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
321 Passes 469
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
40 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg and Mjallby shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 43% of the ball to Mjallby's 57%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.29 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elfsborg and 1.17 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Mjallby?

Elfsborg 1-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 45%, draw 26%, Mjallby 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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