Colorado Rapids 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.33
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.75
X/2
11%
8.45
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.9
2/2
9%
5.66
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 29%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.47/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.04
-100% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
16.0 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
2W-1D-3L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 377
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-2 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
16.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
12.05.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-3 HT 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
14.04.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
04.06.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
12.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
2-0
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.21 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
309 Passes 311
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids beat San Jose Earthquakes 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 49% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 51%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 1.21 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.17 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Colorado Rapids 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Open Cup on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 48%, draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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