San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.76
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
17%
4.94
X/2
10%
7.33
X/X
15%
5.08
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
9%
5.07
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.51/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.64
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
21.5 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 1.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
377 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-3 HT 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
14.04.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
04.06.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
12.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
15.09.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
08.05.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1-2
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.51 xG 1.71
66% Ball Possession 34%
27 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
438 Passes 189
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids edged past San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Jose Earthquakes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 66% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 34%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 2.51 to 1.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Jose Earthquakes.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.17 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 47%, draw 26%, Colorado Rapids 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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