Colorado Rapids 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.24
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
12%
4.15
X/2
11%
8.96
X/X
7%
5.55
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
12%
6.48
2/X
10%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.46/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.69
-23% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.9 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.14 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
304 Passes 419
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
04.06.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
12.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
15.09.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
08.05.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
05.09.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
2-3
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.98 xG 1.12
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
400 Passes 179
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes nicked a narrow win over Colorado Rapids 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Rapids at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 64% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 36%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.98 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Colorado Rapids.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colorado Rapids and 0.50 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Colorado Rapids 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 46%, draw 24%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colorado Rapids) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
12 May 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution Analysis →
02:30 Charlotte vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City Analysis →
02:30 Toronto FC vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs DC United Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Analysis →