San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Apr 2024

San Jose Earthquakes
0-3 HT 0-1
Colorado Rapids
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
13.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.54
X/2
11%
7.25
X/X
11%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
2/2
12%
5.29
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Jose Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.59/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.50
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.5 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
399 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.06.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
12.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
15.09.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
08.05.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
05.09.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
18.07.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD

San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado Rapids — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
0-3
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.38 xG 1.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
456 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 28
32 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids cruised past San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was San Jose Earthquakes at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 61% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 39%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 2.38 to 1.92 — on chances, San Jose Earthquakes could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 0.67 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 46%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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