Colorado Rapids 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.36
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
4%
12.75
X/1
19%
4.92
X/2
7%
8.8
X/X
14%
6.25
2/1
6%
19.95
2/2
12%
5.77
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.7
Value flag · 2/X at 13.7 — our 11% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.53/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.81
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.5 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
295 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
12.05.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-3 HT 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
14.04.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
04.06.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
12.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
15.09.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
0-2
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
0.64 xG 1.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
306 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes beat Colorado Rapids 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Rapids at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 48% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 52%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.64 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.00 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Colorado Rapids 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 47%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colorado Rapids), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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