Nacional de Football 0-0 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.66
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 37% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.26
X/2
8%
8.25
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
6.88
2/X
8%
15.25
Value flag · X/1 at 4.26 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.34/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.47
+45% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
21.8 Crosses 9.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Universitario
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.88 xG 2.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
229 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.04.2026 Universitario Universitario 4-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football LKU
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football and Universitario fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional de Football at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Universitario?

Nacional de Football 0-0 Universitario in the Copa Libertadores on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 52%, draw 26%, Universitario 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LKU More Copa Libertadores
21 May 2026
03:30 Flamengo vs Estudiantes Analysis →
03:30 Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Analysis →
03:30 LDU Quito vs Lanus Analysis →
05:00 Cusco FC vs Independiente Medellin Analysis →
05:00 Junior vs Sporting Cristal Analysis →