Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
LKU
2-1
HT 0-1
Cerro Porteno
LKU
5-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Porteno
LKU
Palmeiras 0-1 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over Palmeiras 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Palmeiras carried 74% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Palmeiras had 74% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 26%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.98 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Palmeiras and 0.33 for Cerro Porteno.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Palmeiras 0-1 Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 74%, draw 16%, Cerro Porteno 10%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5 went the other way.