Junior 3-2 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.55
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
21%
4.51
X/2
5%
7.99
X/X
10%
4.56
2/1
6%
24.8
2/2
11%
6.19
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.65/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.26
-62% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
20.7 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.82 xG 2.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
280 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2026 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-2
AWAY Sporting Cristal
2.04 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
357 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 21
3 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Junior vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior squeezed past Sporting Cristal 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Junior had 50% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 50%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 2.04 to 1.46.

What was the final score of Junior vs Sporting Cristal?

Junior 3-2 Sporting Cristal in the Copa Libertadores on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Junior 53%, draw 24%, Sporting Cristal 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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