Sporting Cristal 2-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+7.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.49/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.46
+6% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.2 Crosses 11.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-0
AWAY Junior
2.27 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
368 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal beat Junior 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 56% of the ball to Junior's 44%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.27 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

Sporting Cristal 2-0 Junior in the Copa Libertadores on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 45%, draw 29%, Junior 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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