UCV 0-3 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
0-3
AWAY Rosario Central
1.19 xG 2.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
243 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCV vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central swept aside UCV 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, UCV had 42% of the ball to Rosario Central's 58%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.19 to 2.15.

What was the final score of UCV vs Rosario Central?

UCV 0-3 Rosario Central in the Copa Libertadores on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UCV 24%, draw 22%, Rosario Central 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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