Libertad vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Libertad 2-3 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle edged past Libertad 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Independiente Del Valle found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Libertad had 44% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 56%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.13 to 0.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Libertad and 1.50 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Independiente Del Valle?
Libertad 2-3 Independiente Del Valle in the Copa Libertadores on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Libertad 34%, draw 31%, Independiente Del Valle 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.