Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Boca Juniors — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Boca Juniors
LKU
2-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
LKU
1-2
HT 0-2
Boca Juniors
LKU
2-1
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
LKU
Cruzeiro 1-0 Boca Juniors — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro edged past Boca Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Cruzeiro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 63% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 37%, shots finished 11-0, expected goals 1.32 to 0.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruzeiro's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.50 for Boca Juniors.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors?
Cruzeiro 1-0 Boca Juniors in the Copa Libertadores on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 39%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.