Deportes Tolima 3-0 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 22%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
0.74/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.32
-88% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +134% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
17.1 Crosses 12.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
3-0
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
2.20 xG 0.42
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
429 Passes 146
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 9
6 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima ran out comfortable winners over Coquimbo Unido 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 68% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 32%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.20 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?

Deportes Tolima 3-0 Coquimbo Unido in the Copa Libertadores on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 52%, draw 25%, Coquimbo Unido 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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