Lanus 1-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.45
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.78
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
19.2
X/1
21%
3.57
X/2
5%
13.8
X/X
7%
5.03
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
5%
13.25
2/X
5%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
65%
+4.0pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.7pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 16%
-20% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
0.95/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.60
-43% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
12.1 Crosses 12.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
2W-1D-1L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.45 xG 1.28
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
201 Passes 368
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2024 Lanus Lanus 3-1 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito CSA
15.08.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 1-2 Lanus Lanus CSA
02.10.2009 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito CON CSA
25.09.2009 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-0 HT 3-0 Lanus Lanus CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1-0
AWAY LDU Quito
0.86 xG 0.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
380 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lanus vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lanus had 55% of the ball to LDU Quito's 45%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.86 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lanus had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lanus and 1.75 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Lanus vs LDU Quito?

Lanus 1-0 LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Lanus 69%, draw 18%, LDU Quito 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ BTTS No
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