Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.25
X/1
21%
3.7
X/2
4%
11.35
X/X
14%
4.5
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
9%
10.6
2/X
4%
19.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.84/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.01
+7% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.0 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
408 Passes 292
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2026 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo LKU
26.09.2025 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo LKU
19.09.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
1-0
AWAY Estudiantes
1.20 xG 0.89
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
389 Passes 152
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo squeezed past Estudiantes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Flamengo had 67% of the ball to Estudiantes's 33%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.20 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Flamengo and 1.00 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Estudiantes?

Flamengo 1-0 Estudiantes in the Copa Libertadores on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 60%, draw 24%, Estudiantes 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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