LDU Quito vs Lanus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Lanus — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Lanus Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
CON CSA
4-0
HT 3-0
Lanus
CON CSA
LDU Quito 2-0 Lanus — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito saw off Lanus 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, LDU Quito had 60% of the ball to Lanus's 40%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.24 to 0.21.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lanus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for LDU Quito and 1.40 for Lanus.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Lanus?
LDU Quito 2-0 Lanus in the Copa Libertadores on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Lanus?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 53%, draw 25%, Lanus 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.