Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Las Vegas Lights v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Las Vegas Lights 2-3 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC found just enough to beat Las Vegas Lights 3-2 on their travels. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
A gentle 41% lean on Las Vegas Lights didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (57%) landed.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 62% of the ball to Orange County SC's 38%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.75 to 2.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 2.17 for Orange County SC.
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
Las Vegas Lights 2 - 3 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 41%, draw 28%, Orange County SC 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) went the other way.