Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 1-0 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay edged past El Paso Locomotive 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Monterey Bay made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.51 to 0.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.50 for El Paso Locomotive.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay 1-0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Before kick-off our model rated an El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 36%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) went the other way.