Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.56
Over
39%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
1%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fortaleza CEIF The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas The Market 27%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
0.69 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.07 xG 1.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
257 Passes 189
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
02.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
26.04.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
13.04.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
10.04.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2 - 1
AWAY Once Caldas
1.07 xG 1.03
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
180 Passes 440
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fortaleza CEIF squeezed past Once Caldas 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Once Caldas saw more of the ball, 68% to 32%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.07 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Fortaleza CEIF against 0.60 for Once Caldas.

Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas Result & Final Score

Fortaleza CEIF 2 - 1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 47%, draw 33%, Once Caldas 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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